Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1118.051761 1274.699156 1450.945640 1665.008058 1919.404012 2213.843221 2582.990429
2025-06-08 872.214098 1071.309679 1317.290013 1647.803910 2086.867445 2659.646374 3479.556914
2025-06-15 762.516796 981.686731 1269.225315 1682.312308 2274.563271 3115.758769 4444.363466
2025-06-22 656.968026 875.578463 1175.478745 1628.804874 2318.520211 3367.127457 5163.725192
2025-06-29 579.853619 795.120935 1101.584109 1585.164146 2359.522965 3609.545170 5915.153908
2025-07-06 516.429908 725.201115 1031.835229 1533.773881 2374.057712 3804.513357 6625.946922
2025-07-13 489.466294 704.866235 1031.935811 1588.999093 2568.244324 4337.543963 8107.279641
2025-07-20 458.064176 673.851849 1010.927814 1605.050943 2695.180385 4772.651555 9524.419194
2025-07-27 436.460453 655.531699 1007.371846 1648.969035 2878.140191 5352.283754 11450.552216
2025-08-03 415.686427 636.221371 999.524736 1683.216021 3047.242111 5940.390860 13615.026440
2025-08-10 401.054020 625.403294 1004.462097 1740.799028 3272.036146 6701.802785 16543.963813
2025-08-17 380.664249 602.903801 986.427593 1751.684311 3400.573911 7273.597124 19198.000820
2025-08-24 356.464222 573.043351 954.490229 1735.700411 3478.803860 7772.415010 21981.387914
2025-08-31 334.317647 545.172231 923.900443 1719.462556 3556.709259 8302.709176 25217.932931
2025-09-07 321.087777 531.935264 919.006422 1755.567052 3764.525462 9247.739889 30594.903135
2025-09-14 298.307027 499.405931 873.992676 1699.218416 3734.374842 9504.521371 33422.517744
2025-09-21 278.889228 471.655523 835.825355 1653.241543 3722.678775 9817.219344 36750.283293
2025-09-28 260.384852 444.312970 796.149160 1599.126697 3680.396059 10025.072622 39781.240183
2025-10-05 254.805275 441.087785 804.684040 1657.281313 3954.391199 11373.149648 49913.865850
2025-10-12 245.603668 430.141389 796.291693 1674.189317 4116.832159 12400.763759 59468.933693
2025-10-19 239.655644 425.106985 799.762696 1720.460328 4376.286498 13899.823833 74047.922428
2025-10-26 233.160969 418.481843 799.184664 1756.552630 4614.096373 15427.382919 91347.267488
2025-11-02 228.949207 416.142199 807.678692 1817.258732 4946.015821 17522.282580 117435.615000